Subscribe to our Newsletter

Get a monthly digest of the latest Football GAP insights.

About Us

We believe the individual impact of football players cannot be measured by vanity metrics like goals, passes, tackles won or possession. Real team players influence besides their own metrics especially their team members, their opponents and as a final output the game result directly and indirectly. This is what Football GAP is about.

© 2025 Football Gap. All rights reserved.

PrivacyTermsContact

Real Madrid vs Valencia - Predictions, Stats & Odds

La Liga Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 30

La Liga - Gameweek 30

Saturday, 5 Apr 2025 • 16:15

Real Madrid

1 : 2

Valencia

Goals

15'
0 : 1
Mouctar Diakha...
0 : 1
Mouctar Diakhaby15'
Vinícius Júnio...
1 : 1
50'
50'Vinícius Júnior
1 : 1
90'
1 : 2
Hugo Duro
1 : 2
Hugo Duro90'

Lineups

Real Madrid

PosPlayer
GK
Fran González
DEF
Antonio Rudiger
DEF
Fran García
DEF
Max Aarons
MID
Luka Modric
MID
Brahim
MID
Federico Valverde
MID
Aurelien Tchouameni
MID
Jude Bellingham
FWD
Lucas Vazquez
FWD
Vinícius Júnior
FWD
Kylian Mbappé

Substitutes

57'Brahimfor Rodrygo
77'Luka Modricfor Endrick
77'Vinícius Júnior
for David Alaba
77'Fran Garcíafor Eduardo Camavinga
85'Lucas Vazquezfor Arda Güler

Valencia

PosPlayer
GK
Giorgi Mamardashvili
DEF
Mouctar Diakhaby
DEF
Jesús Vázquez
DEF
Cristhian Mosquera
DEF
César Tárrega Requeni
MID
André Almeida
MID
Enzo Barrenechea
MID
Javi Guerra
FWD
Umar Sadiq
FWD
Diego López

Substitutes

59'Umar Sadiq
for Rafa Mir
74'Max Aarons
for Hugo Duro
74'Javi Guerrafor Pepelu
74'André Almeidafor Fran Pérez
90'Enzo Barrenecheafor Hugo Guillamón
Difference Maker Star: Top 3 players of their team

League Table after the game

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
2Real Madrid3019656331+3263
L
W
W
W
L
15Valencia30810123447-1334
D
W
D
W
W

Last Games

Real Madrid

vsLeganes
3 - 2
@Villarreal
2 - 1
vsRayo Vallecano
2 - 1
@Real Betis
1 - 2
vsGirona
2 - 0

Valencia

vsMallorca
1 - 0
@Girona
1 - 1
vsValladolid
2 - 1
@Osasuna
3 - 3
vsAtlético Madrid
0 - 3

Head-to-Head

08 Feb 2026
Valencia0 - 2Real Madrid
08 Feb 2026Valencia
0 - 2
Real Madrid
01 Nov 2025
Real Madrid4 - 0Valencia
01 Nov 2025Real Madrid
4 - 0
Valencia
05 Apr 2025
Real Madrid1 - 2Valencia
05 Apr 2025Real Madrid
1 - 2
Valencia
03 Jan 2025
Valencia1 - 2Real Madrid
03 Jan 2025Valencia
1 - 2
Real Madrid
02 Mar 2024
Valencia2 - 2Real Madrid
02 Mar 2024Valencia
2 - 2
Real Madrid

La Liga

Gameweek 30

04 Apr • 21:00
Rayo Vallecano
Espanyol
0 - 4
05 Apr • 14:00
Girona
Deportivo Alavés
0 - 1
05 Apr • 16:15
Real Madrid
Valencia
1 - 2
05 Apr • 18:30
Mallorca
Celta Vigo
1 - 2
05 Apr • 21:00
Barcelona
Real Betis
1 - 1
06 Apr • 12:00
Las Palmas
Real Sociedad
1 - 3
06 Apr • 16:15
Sevilla
Atlético Madrid
1 - 2
06 Apr • 18:30
Valladolid
Getafe
0 - 4
06 Apr • 21:00
Villarreal
Athletic Bilbao
0 - 0
07 Apr • 21:00
Leganes
Osasuna
1 - 1

What is GAP?

What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?

Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.

What is GAP?

GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.