Valencia vs Deportivo Alavés - Predictions, Stats & Odds
La Liga Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 27
AI Match Prediction
Predicted Lineups
Valencia
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Deportivo Alavés
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD |
Preview for the game Valencia vs Deportivo Alavés
Valencia come into this La Liga Gameweek 27 clash with an inconsistent run of three defeats in their last five league matches, taking 6 points from that spell with two wins and three losses. Deportivo Alavés have only collected 5 points over the same period, with one win, two draws and two defeats, so neither side arrives in sustained form. The Plus Minus model edges this towards the hosts, giving Valencia a 42% chance of victory, with a 32% probability of a draw and 25% for an Alavés away win. Recent head-to-head data suggests a very tight matchup. The sides have drawn twice in their last four league meetings, including a 0-0 in Vitoria on 20 October 2025 and a 2-2 at Mestalla in December 2024, while Alavés have also taken two 1-0 away wins in that run. Valencia will look for more cutting edge at home, with Hugo Duro (GAP -0.3%) a key reference in attack and Pepelu (GAP -2.5%) important for controlling midfield. For Alavés, the expected presence of Lucas Boyé (GAP -0.1%) and Toni Martínez (GAP -1.3%) offers a physical and aerial threat that has previously troubled Valencia in low-scoring encounters. Injuries and availability Valencia have several notable absences. José Manuel Copete is ruled out until late May with a meniscus rupture, while Mouctar Diakhaby is also sidelined until May due to a hamstring injury, reducing central defensive depth. Dimitri Foulquier remains out after knee arthroscopy and is likewise expected to miss the coming months. Goalkeeper Julen Agirrezabala has been confirmed absent for this game with a meniscus tear, so Stole Dimitrievski should continue in goal. In midfield and attack, Lucas Beltrán is listed as doubtful because of knee discomfort, whereas Filip Ugrinic is available again after recovering from muscular fatigue. For Deportivo Alavés, Ville Koski is a doubt following meniscus surgery and may not be ready to feature in Gameweek 27.
League Table before the game
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Valencia | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 29 | L L W L W |
| 16 | Deportivo Alavés | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 27 | W L D D L |
Last Games
Head-to-Head
La Liga
Gameweek 27
What is GAP?
What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?
Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.
What is GAP?
GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.