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Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo - Predictions, Stats & Odds

La Liga Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 23

La Liga - Gameweek 23

Wednesday, 4 Mar 2026 • 19:00

Rayo Vallecano

3 : 0

Real Oviedo

Goals

Jorge de Fruto...
1 : 0
44'
44'Jorge de Frutos
1 : 0
Jorge de Fruto...
2 : 0
50'
50'Jorge de Frutos
2 : 0
Alvaro Garcia
3 : 0
62'
62'Alvaro Garcia
3 : 0

Game Review

Rayo Vallecano delivered a commanding performance in their La Liga clash against Real Oviedo, securing a 3-0 victory at home. This result was largely anticipated given Rayo's superior form and league position compared to their opponents. The match was characterized by Rayo's clinical finishing and solid defensive organization. The game began with both teams probing for openings, but it was Rayo Vallecano who broke the deadlock just before halftime. Jorge de Frutos (GAP +2.6%) opened the scoring in the 44th minute, setting the tone for the second half. De Frutos continued his impressive display by doubling the lead shortly after the break in the 50th minute, showcasing his attacking prowess and making a significant impact on the game. Alvaro Garcia (GAP -2.0%) added a third goal in the 62nd minute, effectively sealing the victory for Rayo Vallecano. His contribution was crucial in maintaining the momentum and ensuring a comfortable win for the home side. In terms of tactical adjustments, Rayo Vallecano's manager opted for a stable lineup, making no changes from their previous match. This consistency paid off as the team executed their game plan effectively. On the other hand, Real Oviedo's head coach made several changes, introducing Nicolás Fonseca, Luka Ilić, Thiago Fernández, and Santi Cazorla from the bench, but these adjustments failed to alter the course of the match. The Game Advantage Percentage (GAP) statistics highlighted the standout performances, with Jorge de Frutos and Andrei Rațiu (GAP +2.5%) being particularly influential. Meanwhile, Real Oviedo struggled to find their rhythm, with key players like Lucas Ahijado (GAP -4.0%) and Alberto Reina (GAP -4.0%) unable to make a significant impact. This victory solidifies Rayo Vallecano's position in the upper half of the table, boosting their confidence as they continue their push for European qualification. For Real Oviedo, the defeat leaves them in a precarious position, needing to regroup and find form to avoid slipping further down the standings.

Lineups

Rayo Vallecano

PosPlayer
GK
Augusto Batalla
DEF
Florian Lejeune
DEF
Luiz Felipe
DEF
Andrei Rațiu
DEF
Pep Chavarría
MID
Unai Lopez
MID
Pedro Díaz
MID
Pathé Ciss
MID
Ilias Akhomach
FWD
Alvaro Garcia
FWD
Jorge de Frutos

Substitutes

65'Fran Pérezfor Jorge de Frutos
65'Isi Palazónfor Pedro Díaz

Real Oviedo

PosPlayer
GK
Aarón Escandell
DEF
Javi López
DEF
Dani Calvo
DEF
David Carmo
DEF
Lucas Ahijado
MID
Santiago Colombatto
MID
Alberto Reina
MID
Kwasi Sibo
FWD
Haissem Hassan
FWD
Federico Viñas
FWD
Ilyas Chaira

Substitutes

46'Thiago Fernándezfor Ilyas Chaira
46'Santi Cazorlafor Kwasi Sibo
61'Nicolás Fonsecafor Santiago Colombatto
61'Luka Ilićfor Haissem Hassan
Difference Maker Star: Top 3 players of their team

League Table after the game

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12Rayo Vallecano2679102632-630
L
W
D
D
W
20Real Oviedo2638151643-2717
W
L
D
L
L

Last Games

Rayo Vallecano

vsAthletic Bilbao
1 - 1
@Real Betis
1 - 1
vsAtlético Madrid
3 - 0
@Real Madrid
1 - 2
vsOsasuna
1 - 3

Real Oviedo

vsAtlético Madrid
0 - 1
@Real Sociedad
3 - 3
vsAthletic Bilbao
1 - 2
vsGirona
1 - 0
@Barcelona
0 - 3

Head-to-Head

04 Mar 2026
Rayo Vallecano3 - 0Real Oviedo
04 Mar 2026Rayo Vallecano
3 - 0
Real Oviedo
23 Nov 2025
Real Oviedo0 - 0Rayo Vallecano
23 Nov 2025Real Oviedo
0 - 0
Rayo Vallecano

La Liga

Gameweek 23

06 Feb • 21:00
Celta Vigo
Osasuna
1 - 2
07 Feb • 16:15
Barcelona
Mallorca
3 - 0
07 Feb • 21:00
Real Sociedad
Elche
3 - 1
08 Feb • 14:00
Deportivo Alavés
Getafe
0 - 2
08 Feb • 16:15
Athletic Bilbao
Levante
4 - 2
08 Feb • 16:15
Sevilla
Girona
1 - 1
08 Feb • 18:30
Atlético Madrid
Real Betis
0 - 1
08 Feb • 21:00
Valencia
Real Madrid
0 - 2
09 Feb • 21:00
Villarreal
Espanyol
4 - 1
04 Mar • 19:00
Rayo Vallecano
Real Oviedo
3 - 0

What is GAP?

What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?

Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.

What is GAP?

GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.