Subscribe to our Newsletter

Get a monthly digest of the latest Football GAP insights.

About Us

We believe the individual impact of football players cannot be measured by vanity metrics like goals, passes, tackles won or possession. Real team players influence besides their own metrics especially their team members, their opponents and as a final output the game result directly and indirectly. This is what Football GAP is about.

© 2025 Football Gap. All rights reserved.

PrivacyTermsContact

Real Madrid vs Villarreal - Predictions, Stats & Odds

La Liga Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 8

La Liga - Gameweek 8

Saturday, 4 Oct 2025 • 21:00

Real Madrid

3 : 1

Villarreal

Goals

Vinícius Júnio...
1 : 0
47'
47'Vinícius Júnior
1 : 0
Vinícius Júnio...
2 : 0
69'
69'Vinícius Júnior
2 : 0
73'
2 : 1
Georges Mikaut...
2 : 1
Georges Mikautadze73'
Kylian Mbappé
3 : 1
81'
81'Kylian Mbappé
3 : 1

Lineups

Real Madrid

PosPlayer
GK
Thibaut Courtois
DEF
Éder Militão
DEF
Álvaro Carreras
DEF
Dean Huijsen
MID
Daniel Ceballos
MID
Federico Valverde
MID
Aurelien Tchouameni
MID
Arda Güler
FWD
Vinícius Júnior
FWD
Kylian Mbappé
FWD
Franco Mastantuono

Substitutes

64'Eduardo Camavingafor Daniel Ceballos
64'Jude Bellinghamfor Arda Güler
75'Brahimfor Franco Mastantuono
83'Rodrygofor Kylian Mbappé

Villarreal

PosPlayer
GK
Arnau Tenas
DEF
Sergi Cardona
DEF
Rafa Marín
DEF
Santiago Mouriño
MID
Pape Gueye
MID
Santi Comesaña
MID
Renato Veiga
MID
Thomas Partey
MID
Alberto Moleiro
FWD
Tajon Buchanan
FWD
Tanitoluwa Oluwaseyi

Substitutes

46'Georges Mikautadze
for Alberto Moleiro
46'Nicolas Pépéfor Tajon Buchanan
73'Alfonso Pedrazafor Pape Gueye
82'Altifor Tanitoluwa Oluwaseyi
86'Daniel Parejofor Santi Comesaña
Difference Maker Star: Top 3 players of their team

League Table after the game

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Real Madrid8701199+1021
W
W
W
L
W
3Villarreal8512148+616
L
W
W
W
L

Last Games

Real Madrid

@Atlético Madrid
2 - 5
@Levante
4 - 1
vsEspanyol
2 - 0
@Real Sociedad
2 - 1
vsMallorca
2 - 1

Villarreal

vsAthletic Bilbao
1 - 0
@Sevilla
2 - 1
vsOsasuna
2 - 1
@Atlético Madrid
0 - 2
@Celta Vigo
1 - 1

Head-to-Head

24 Jan 2026
Villarreal0 - 2Real Madrid
24 Jan 2026Villarreal
0 - 2
Real Madrid
04 Oct 2025
Real Madrid3 - 1Villarreal
04 Oct 2025Real Madrid
3 - 1
Villarreal
15 Mar 2025
Villarreal1 - 2Real Madrid
15 Mar 2025Villarreal
1 - 2
Real Madrid
05 Oct 2024
Real Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
05 Oct 2024Real Madrid
2 - 0
Villarreal
19 May 2024
Villarreal4 - 4Real Madrid
19 May 2024Villarreal
4 - 4
Real Madrid

La Liga

Gameweek 8

03 Oct • 21:00
Osasuna
Getafe
2 - 1
04 Oct • 14:00
Real Oviedo
Levante
0 - 2
04 Oct • 16:15
Girona
Valencia
2 - 1
04 Oct • 18:30
Athletic Bilbao
Mallorca
2 - 1
04 Oct • 21:00
Real Madrid
Villarreal
3 - 1
05 Oct • 14:00
Deportivo Alavés
Elche
3 - 1
05 Oct • 16:15
Sevilla
Barcelona
4 - 1
05 Oct • 18:30
Espanyol
Real Betis
1 - 2
05 Oct • 18:30
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
0 - 1
05 Oct • 21:00
Celta Vigo
Atlético Madrid
1 - 1

What is GAP?

What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?

Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.

What is GAP?

GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.