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Bournemouth vs Manchester United - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Premier League Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 31

Premier League - Gameweek 31

Friday, 20 Mar 2026 • 00:00

Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth, England)

Bournemouth

2 : 2

Manchester United

Goals

61'
0 : 1
Bruno Fernande...
0 : 1
Bruno Fernandes61'
Ryan Christie
1 : 1
67'
67'Ryan Christie
1 : 1
71'
1 : 2
James Hill
1 : 2
James Hill71'
Eli Junior Kro...
2 : 2
81'
81'Eli Junior Kroupi
2 : 2

Game Review

In an engaging Premier League encounter at the Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth and Manchester United played out a 2-2 draw. The result was somewhat unexpected given Manchester United's higher league standing and recent form, but Bournemouth's resilience shone through. The match began with Manchester United taking control, and they were rewarded in the 61st minute when Bruno Fernandes (GAP +2.5%) found the back of the net. However, Bournemouth quickly responded with Ryan Christie (GAP +1.7%) equalizing in the 67th minute. Manchester United regained the lead through James Hill (GAP +1.5%) in the 71st minute, but Bournemouth's Eli Junior Kroupi, who came on as a substitute, secured a point for the home side with a goal in the 81st minute. A significant turning point in the match was the red card shown to Harry Maguire (GAP +1.7%) in the 78th minute, which left Manchester United to defend their lead with ten men. This numerical disadvantage allowed Bournemouth to press forward and eventually find the equalizer. Tactically, Manchester United made no changes to their starting lineup compared to their previous match, maintaining consistency in their approach. Bournemouth, on the other hand, made two changes, bringing in Amine Adli and Álex Jiménez, while Adam Smith and Eli Junior Kroupi were left out of the starting eleven. These changes were part of a strategic rotation by the Bournemouth manager. Key performances included Senne Lammens (GAP +4.7%), who was instrumental in goal for Manchester United, and Bryan Mbeumo (GAP +4.4%), whose attacking prowess was evident throughout the match. This draw leaves Manchester United still in contention for a top-four finish, but they will need to address their defensive discipline to avoid dropping crucial points. Bournemouth, meanwhile, can take confidence from their ability to compete against one of the league's stronger sides, potentially boosting their chances of climbing the table in the remaining fixtures.

Lineups

Bournemouth

PosPlayer
GK
Đorđe Petrović
DEF
Marcos Senesi
DEF
Adrien Truffert
DEF
James Hill
DEF
Álex Jiménez
MID
Ryan Christie
MID
Marcus Tavernier
MID
Amine Adli
MID
Alex Scott
FWD
Evanilson
FWD
Rayan

Substitutes

73'Eli Junior Kroupi
for Ryan Christie
73'David Brooksfor Amine Adli
73'Adam Smithfor Álex Jiménez

Manchester United

PosPlayer
GK
Senne Lammens
DEF
Luke Shaw
DEF
Harry Maguire
DEF
Diogo Dalot
DEF
Leny Yoro
MID
Casemiro
MID
Bruno Fernandes
MID
Kobbie Mainoo
FWD
Matheus Cunha
FWD
Amad Diallo
FWD
Bryan Mbeumo

Substitutes

71'Benjamin Šeškofor Bryan Mbeumo
82'Manuel Ugartefor Casemiro
82'Ayden Heavenfor Matheus Cunha
Difference Maker Star: Top 3 players of their team

League Table after the game

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
3Manchester United31151065643+1355
W
W
L
W
D
13Bournemouth3191574648-242
D
D
D
D
D

Last Games

Bournemouth

@Burnley
0 - 0
vsBrentford
0 - 0
vsSunderland
1 - 1
@West Ham United
0 - 0
@Everton
2 - 1

Manchester United

vsAston Villa
3 - 1
@Newcastle United
1 - 2
vsCrystal Palace
2 - 1
@Everton
1 - 0
@West Ham United
1 - 1

Head-to-Head

20 Mar 2026
Bournemouth2 - 2Manchester United
20 Mar 2026Bournemouth
2 - 2
Manchester United
15 Dec 2025
Manchester United4 - 4Bournemouth
15 Dec 2025Manchester United
4 - 4
Bournemouth
27 Apr 2025
Bournemouth1 - 1Manchester United
27 Apr 2025Bournemouth
1 - 1
Manchester United
22 Dec 2024
Manchester United0 - 3Bournemouth
22 Dec 2024Manchester United
0 - 3
Bournemouth
13 Apr 2024
Bournemouth2 - 2Manchester United
13 Apr 2024Bournemouth
2 - 2
Manchester United

Premier League

Gameweek 31

18 Feb • 20:00
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Arsenal
2 - 2
20 Mar • 00:00
Bournemouth
Manchester United
2 - 2
21 Mar • 12:45
Brighton and Hove Albion
Liverpool
2 - 1
21 Mar • 15:00
Fulham
Burnley
3 - 1
21 Mar • 17:30
Everton
Chelsea
3 - 0
21 Mar • 20:00
Leeds United
Brentford
0 - 0
22 Mar • 12:00
Newcastle United
Sunderland
1 - 2
22 Mar • 14:15
Aston Villa
West Ham United
2 - 0
22 Mar • 14:15
Tottenham Hotspur
Nottingham Forest
0 - 3
22 May • 14:00
Manchester City
Crystal Palace

What is GAP?

What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?

Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.

What is GAP?

GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.