Udinese vs Fiorentina - Predictions, Stats & Odds
Serie A Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 27
Goals
Game Review
In a commanding Serie A performance, Udinese secured a 3-0 victory over Fiorentina on Monday, 2 March 2026. This result was somewhat unexpected given Fiorentina's higher league standing and recent form, but Udinese's clinical finishing and solid defense turned the tide in their favor. The match began with Udinese taking an early lead through Christian Kabasele (GAP +0.4%), who found the net in the 10th minute. This early goal set the tone for the home side, who maintained control throughout the match. Fiorentina struggled to respond effectively, despite having experienced players like David de Gea (GAP -1.0%) in goal. The second half saw Udinese extend their lead with a goal from Keinan Davis (GAP +0.7%) in the 64th minute. Fiorentina's attempts to claw back into the game were thwarted by a disciplined Udinese defense. The final blow came in the 90th minute when substitute Adam Buksa sealed the victory with a third goal. Tactically, Udinese's manager made effective use of his substitutes, bringing in Lennon Miller, Adam Buksa, Oier Zarraga, and Hassane Kamara to maintain the team's momentum. Fiorentina's head coach also made several changes, introducing Giovanni Fabbian, Roberto Piccoli, Pietro Comuzzo, Cher Ndour, and Jacopo Fazzini, but these adjustments failed to alter the course of the match. The Game Advantage Percentage (GAP) statistics highlighted several key performances. Nicolò Bertola (GAP +1.8%) was particularly influential in defense, while Albert Guðmundsson (GAP +1.5%) was one of the few bright spots for Fiorentina. This victory is a significant boost for Udinese, who have struggled for consistency this season. The win could serve as a catalyst for a stronger finish to their Serie A campaign. For Fiorentina, this defeat is a setback in their pursuit of European qualification, and they will need to regroup quickly to maintain their position in the upper half of the table.
Lineups
Udinese
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD |
Substitutes
| 68' | Adam Buksafor Keinan Davis |
| 73' | Hassane Kamarafor Jordan Zemura |
| 73' | Oier Zarragafor Jakub Piotrowski |
| 87' | Lennon Millerfor Nicolò Zaniolo |
Fiorentina
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Substitutes
| 46' | Pietro Comuzzofor Marin Pongračić |
| 46' | Cher Ndourfor Marco Brescianini |
| 71' | Roberto Piccolifor Moise Kean |
| 71' | Giovanni Fabbianfor Rolando Mandragora |
| 87' | Jacopo Fazzinifor Nicolò Fagioli |
League Table after the game
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Udinese | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 35 | W L L L W |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 42 | -12 | 24 | L D W W L |
Last Games
Head-to-Head
Serie A
Gameweek 27
What is GAP?
What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?
Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.
What is GAP?
GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.